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What Must We Do to Restore Consumer Confidence?
July 1st, 2009 12:34 PM

 

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consumer_confidenceRISMEDIA, July 1, 2009-Some of you may remember a few years back when a Harris Poll survey found that REALTORS(R) were named among the Top 12 Most Trusted Professionals in America. This was several notches below nurses, doctors and pharmacists, but comfortably above attorneys, stockbrokers and sales professionals in a number of other industries. In fact, while sales professionals as a whole rated somewhere midway on the “most trusted” scale, Realtors consistently garnered the top rating among the entire sales group. That is a reassuring statistic to remember at this particular point in time, when our industry is beginning to pick up and dust off after a challenging economic downturn. With several indicators suggesting, the economy is set to rebound, what must we do to polish our image as trusted advisers and restore consumer confidence going forward? In this month’s NAR Power Broker Roundtable, we have gathered a panel of veteran brokers to address this most important issue.

Moderator: Virginia Cook, Special Liaison for Large Firm Relations, NAR

Participants: Jon Coile, President, Champion Realty, Chesapeake Bay, Maryland
Helen Sossa, President, Prudential Palms Realty, Sarasota, Florida.
Vince Leisey, President, Prudential Ambassador Real Estate, Omaha, Nebraska

Vince Leisey: To begin with, I think we need to recognize that consumer confidence fell for a variety of reasons that had nothing to do with our ability as sales professionals. Consumers lost faith because as home prices dropped, equity was eroded. At the same time, unemployment was going up as the stock market was tanking. But we need to remember that, as always, what was a challenge for some became an opportunity for others and I think we’re seeing that opportunity come into its own today.

Helen Sossa: I agree, because pending sales are clearly picking up. We’ve had more unit sales over the last couple of months than in the entire history of our company. People-especially young people-who have good jobs and haven’t overspent the last couple of years are qualifying for some of the best home values available in years. I overheard a conversation the other day between two young women sitting in an airport coffee shop. One of them said the recession was “the best thing that could have happened to her” because it enabled her to buy her first home.

Jon Coile: That is especially true in light of the $8,000 tax credit for first-time buyers. That alone is a confidence booster, and it’s bringing in a lot of buyers who had been waiting on the sidelines. Granted it’s starting things moving at the low end of the market, but we need to capitalize on that activity. No more media doom and gloom. We’re turning that around, meeting actively with reporters and editors to update them on what’s happening. There is plenty of activity now.

VL: The mentality has shifted. Consumers are looking ahead, not back, and as Realtors we need to take that ball and run with it.

HS: That’s true. And there are plenty of ways beyond the federal tax credit to help boost consumer confidence-things like mortgage protection programs that are beginning to pop up, and homeowner counseling and assistance programs we can offer our customers.

JC: But we have to do more than change consumer attitudes, we have to manage the attitudes of our agents. When one of our top producers was lamenting the market a couple of months ago, her branch manager threw some numbers out that made her sit up and take notice. Once she understood the opportunities in the market, she wrote three contracts in three weeks.

Virginia Cook: Does all this activity mean we need to find new ways to reach out to consumers?

JC: I don’t think so. I think the ways to reach out are already in place, and by that I mean the tech revolution. As an industry, we are finally using technology and social networking to be more proactive, to build up our databases, and to be instantly responsive to our clients.

VC: What does that say about our marketing outreach programs?

VL: It means a shift there, too. According to the statistics, reaching a market of 50 million people would take 38 years by radio, 13 years by television, four years on the Internet, and three on iPod-but only two years via Facebook. What does that tell you?

HS: It tells me technology is the new way to win friends and influence people. But we must not lose sight of the fact that consumers trust us, by and large, because we build and sustain relationships. If we combine technology with our well-honed people skills, we can boost consumer confidence off the charts.

VC: Thank you all for your insight on this ongoing challenge. The NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® (NAR) offers a number of tools and resources to help brokers and their agents communicate the value Realtors bring to the transaction, including the publication “It Pays To Work With A REALTOR®,” available to members for download free of charge as part of the Right Tools, Right Now initiative. In addition, NAR’s Public Awareness Campaign uses a comprehensive mix of television, radio and print advertising to educate consumers about the benefits of homeownership and buying opportunities in a changing real estate market. Learn more at www.REALTOR.org/RightTools.

RISMedia welcomes your questions and comments. Send your e-mail to: realestatemagazinefeedback@rismedia.com.



http://rismedia.com/2009-06-30/what-must-we-do-to-restore-consumer-confidence/#ixzz0K1gMn2C6&D

Posted by Ron Mastrodonato on July 1st, 2009 12:34 PMPost a Comment (0)

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Mortgage interest rates today
June 30th, 2009 12:31 PM
Tuesday's bond market has opened in negative territory despite early stock losses and weaker than expected economic data. The stock markets are in selling mode after digesting this morning's economic news with the Dow down 105 points and the Nasdaq down 9 points. The bond market is currently down 9/32, which will likely push this morning's mortgage rates higher by approximately .125 - .250 of a discount point. 

The Conference Board gave us today's only relevant economic data when they posted June's Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) late this morning. They reported a reading of 49.3 that was well below forecasts of 55.1. This means that consumers were much less optimistic about their own financial situations than many had thought. This is actually supposed to be good news for the bond market and mortgage rates since it indicates consumers are less apt to make large purchases in the near future. Unfortunately for mortgage shoppers, bond traders seem to have forgotten that this morning.

The Institute of Supply Management (ISM) will release their manufacturing index for June late tomorrow morning. This index measures manufacturer sentiment by surveying trade executives on current business conditions. A reading below 50 means that more surveyed executives felt business worsened in the month than those who felt it had improved. Analysts are expecting a reading of 44.0. That would indicate that manufacturers felt business improved slightly from the previous month. Good news for bonds and mortgage rates would be a weaker than expected reading.

Thursday brings us the release of two monthly reports, one being the extremely important Employment report. The other, May's Factory Order's data will likely have little impact on the financial markets or mortgage rates as most of the attention will be directed towards the employment figures.

The financial markets will be closed Friday in observance of the Ind ependence Day holiday, but there will be no early close for the bond market Thursday as has been the case previous years. However, it will still probably be a light afternoon in trading as traders head home for the long weekend. This could magnify the reaction the markets will have to the morning's data.

If I were considering financing/refinancing a home, I would.... Lock if my closing was taking place within 7 days... Lock if my closing was taking place between 8 and 20 days... Float if my closing was taking place between 21 and 60 days... Float if my closing was taking place over 60 days from now... This is only my opinion of what I would do if I were financing a home. It is only an opinion and cannot be guaranteed to be in the best interest of all/any other borrowers. 

©Mortgage Commentary 2009


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Posted by Ron Mastrodonato on June 30th, 2009 12:31 PMPost a Comment (0)

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Fed to Keep Short-Term Rates Low
June 29th, 2009 10:15 AM

Fed to Keep Short-Term Rates Low


The Federal Reserve announced Wednesday that it expects to keep short-term interest rates “exceptionally low” for the next few months. It also underscored its commitment to make $1.25 trillion in total purchases of mortgage-backed securities by the end of year.

Both actions are likely to keep mortgage rates low through the end of 2009.

The Fed failed to raise a cap of $300 billion in purchases of Treasury securities, which could lead indirectly to higher mortgage rates because mortgage rates tend to rise in conjunction with Treasurys.

In response to the possibility of rising mortgage rates, the Mortgage Bankers Association this week cut its forecast for total 2009 mortgage originations by 27 percent.

Source: Inman News (06/25/2009)

Ron Mastrodonato / movemyrealty.com does not claim credit for writing this article


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Borrowers Struggle to Get Help
June 26th, 2009 10:50 AM
Borrowers Struggle to Get Help
Getting help through the Obama administration’s mortgage-assistance program has been an impossible challenge for thousands of applicants.

Home owners who apply for mortgage modifications can expect to wait 45 to 60 days before hearing anything from their mortgage service company, according to a report from foreclosure-prevention counselor NeighborWorks America.

Here is some other basic information:
  • The refinancing option is available only for certain loans owned or securitized by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. Home owners should contact their lender to see if they're eligible. Borrowers who are delinquent on their mortgage will not qualify.
  • To be eligible for a modification, borrowers must live in their property and be able to pay the mortgage after the modification. The first mortgage may not exceed 105 percent of the current market value of the property. The unpaid principal balance must be equal to or less than $729,750 for one-unit properties. The loan must have originated before Jan. 1, 2009. A borrower must have a payment (including taxes, insurance and homeowners association dues) that is more than 31 percent of the borrower's gross monthly income.
  • Consumers can find more information about these programs at FinancialStability.gov.


Source: USA Today (06/19/2009)

Ron Mastrodonato / movemyrealty.com does not claim credit for writing this article


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Are REITs a Key to Real Estate Recovery?
June 24th, 2009 12:14 PM

Are REITs a Key to Real Estate Recovery?

If you want to bet on the real estate recovery without finding financing and taking possession of property, then consider buying real estate investment trusts.

Fortune magazine says that blue-chip REITs offer a reasonably conservative opportunity for individual investors to profit from the coming real estate rebound. Boston Properties (BXP), Regency Centers (REG), Simon Property Group (SPG), and Vornado Realty Trust (VNO) appear to be among the strongest, the magazine says.


Philip Martin, a senior vice president of Golub & Co., a real estate investment and development firm, thinks there isn’t an oversupply of commercial properties.

"So when we do recover, you are likely to see a pretty healthy snap-back in real estate prices," he says. "This is an excellent environment for those REITs with the right combination of knowledge and capital. They are going to have an opportunity to make some great deals, and the risk-adjusted returns at this point in the real estate cycle are going to be pretty darn good."

Source: Fortune, Michael V. Copeland (06/22/2009)

Ron Mastrodonato / movemyrealty.com does not claim credit for writing this article


Posted by Ron Mastrodonato on June 24th, 2009 12:14 PMPost a Comment (0)

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